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Wed, Jul 12, 2017 at 9:29 AM
Issued by: Spencer Logan

Today

 

Tomorrow

No Rating (-) Watch for signs of instability like recent avalanches, cracking, and audible collapsing. Avoid traveling on or under similar slopes.   No Rating (-) Watch for signs of instability like recent avalanches, cracking, and audible collapsing. Avoid traveling on or under similar slopes.
No Rating (-) Watch for signs of instability like recent avalanches, cracking, and audible collapsing. Avoid traveling on or under similar slopes.   No Rating (-) Watch for signs of instability like recent avalanches, cracking, and audible collapsing. Avoid traveling on or under similar slopes.
No Rating (-) Watch for signs of instability like recent avalanches, cracking, and audible collapsing. Avoid traveling on or under similar slopes.   No Rating (-) Watch for signs of instability like recent avalanches, cracking, and audible collapsing. Avoid traveling on or under similar slopes.
  Danger Scale

  • No Rating
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    Low
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    Moderate
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    Considerable
  • 4
    High
  • 5
    Extreme

Summary

Please see the Statewide Summary for current conditions through May, and general summer avalanche safety.

 
Weather Forecast for 11,000ft Issued Sun, Apr 30, 2017 at 12:42 PM by Mike Cooperstein Statewide Weather Forecast
  Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night
Temperature (ºF) 20 to 25 35 to 40 20 to 25
Wind Speed (mph) 15 to 25 10 to 20 5 to 15
Wind Direction NW WNW WNW
Sky Cover Mostly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Snow (in) 0 to 1 0 to 1 0

Archived Forecasts

  • Select Forecast: Valid

Sun, Apr 16, 2017 at 6:55 AM
Issued by: Jeff Davis Statewide Weather Forecast  

Groundhog Day in the Southern Mountains. We continue to see very little change in avalanche danger and conditions day to day. Many slopes will have a firm refrozen surface this morning, but it will not take long for these slopes to heat up and wet avalanche hazard to rise. Warm temperatures and the strong spring sun are the main contributors to the snow surface losing structure and becoming unsupportable. With lighter winds in the forecast slopes will warm faster than they have in previous days. Though generally safe avalanche conditions persist, continue to watch for wet avalanche activity as the day progresses and avoid slopes that have been baking in the sun for multiple hours. Monitor the surface snow conditions carefully. Small Loose Wet avalanches can entrain enough heavy snow to knock you off your feet. If the snow loses cohesion and you sink deeper than about eight inches larger more dangerous avalanches are becoming possible. If you encounter these conditions, you should find a cooler aspect to recreate on or simply call it a day.

Timing becomes very important in your trip planning in the Spring. You can easily avoid the avalanche danger by avoiding the sun. Start on easterly-facing slopes and make your way west as the sun climbs higher and starts its trip across the sky. Think about your afternoon exit route. If you plan to be in the mountains later in the day, remember that west-facing aspects have sun on them until 6:00 pm and avalanche danger is greatest later in the day. Northerly aspects that are breaking down for the first time are most suspect to larger Loose Wet avalanches.. 


  • Dry facets on NW facing slope 11,600 feet (full)
  • Dry snow persist on North facing slope. This type of structure could lead to another Wet Slab cycle as temperatures continue to rise. (full)

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Five Day Trend

Sunday

Monday

Tuesday

Today

Tomorrow

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  • No Rating
  • 1
    Low
  • 2
    Moderate
  • 3
    Considerable
  • 4
    High
  • 5
    Extreme
Avalanche Observations
No relevant backcountry observations found for this forecast

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Field Reports
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Weather Observations
Station Date Time Temperature Relative Humidity Wind Speed Wind Direction Max Gust 24 Hr Snow
Beartown Fri Jul 21 3:00 PM 52 - - - - -
Kendall Mt Fri Jul 21 4:00 PM 47 74 3 137 8 -
Molas Pass Fri Jul 21 4:00 PM 52 83 2 57 6 0.4
Putney Fri Jul 21 4:00 PM 55 62 9 190 30 -
Swamp Angel Fri Jul 21 4:00 PM 58 58 3 234 10 -
El Diente Peak Fri Jul 21 3:00 PM 53 - - - - -
Lizard Head Pass Fri Jul 21 3:00 PM 55 - - - - -
Lone Cone Fri Jul 21 3:00 PM 55 - - - - -
Molas Lake Fri Jul 21 2:00 PM 51 - - - - -
Moon Pass Fri Jul 21 3:00 PM 57 - - - - -
Slumgullion Fri Jul 21 3:00 PM 60 - - - - -

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