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Wed, Nov 22, 2017 at 7:00 AM
Issued by: Brian Lazar

Today

 

Tomorrow

Low (1) Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.   Low (1) Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.
Low (1) Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.   Low (1) Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.
Low (1) Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.   Low (1) Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.
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Summary

There is not a lot of snow across the Sangre de Cristo zone, with little change on the near-term horizon. This makes avalanches unlikely in all but the isolated north-facing high-alpine slopes that hold pockets of wind-drifted and early season snow snow.  Even a small avalanche could result in an injury if you are dragged through rocks or trees in the shallow, early season snowpack. If you are planning to venture into high alpine northerly-facing terrain, evaluate steep gullies carefully before riding. If there is enough snow to ride then there is enough snow for avalanches. 

The Friends of CAIC are hosting the 10th Annual CAIC Benefit Bash on December 2, 2017 in Breckenridge The funds from this event go to support the CAIC and these backcountry forecasts. It’s an event not to miss. For more information and to purchase tickets visit: https://adecadedeep.eventbrite.com.

 

Recent Tweets

@CAIC: LOW(Level 1)- Not much snow but where there is snow on high norths small avalanches not out of the question. Nov 22, 7:40 AM
@CAIC: LOW(L1) Most dangerous slopes high elev Northerly where old snow exists Not a lot of snow but enough for Avys. Nov 21, 7:33 AM
Weather Forecast for 11,000ft Issued Wed, Nov 22, 2017 at 11:51 AM by Brian Lazar Statewide Weather Forecast
  Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night
Temperature (ºF) 28 to 33 40 to 45 28 to 33
Wind Speed (mph) 10 to 20 15 to 25 15 to 25
Wind Direction NNW W W
Sky Cover Mostly Clear Mostly Clear Partly Cloudy
Snow (in) 0 0 0

Archived Forecasts

  • Select Forecast: Valid

Wed, Nov 22, 2017 at 7:27 AM
Issued by: Brian Lazar Statewide Weather Forecast  

The lack of snow across the Sangre de Cristo zone means avalanches are unlikely. The only real places to ride are high elevation northerly-facing slopes. In most areas, the snowpack consist entirely of faceted snow and there is no slab. If you find a slab on northerly-facing aspects, there is also depth hoar on the ground. If you find this combination, you may be able to trigger an avalanche. The snowpack is discontinuous in many areas; if you find a slope with continuous snow cover investigate the basal weak layers carefully before riding. Shallow areas on the margins of slopes, over rock bands and rollovers are the most likely place to trigger an avalanche, but there has to be a slab. In these areas, the weak layer is closer to the snow surface making it easier to effect. Treat areas where ground cover like rocks and bushes are poking through the snow surface as suspect.


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Avalanche Observations
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Field Reports
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Weather Observations
Station Date Time Temperature Relative Humidity Wind Speed Wind Direction Max Gust 24 Hr Snow
La Veta Pass (160w278) Wed Nov 22 8:10 PM 39 58 1 195 2 -
Hayden Pass Wed Nov 22 7:00 PM 39 - - - - -
Medano Pass Wed Nov 22 7:00 PM 34 - - - - -

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